Viewing topic: Ensemble Forecasting

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Ensemble Forecasting

  • Definition: A forecasting technique that entails running several forecast models, each beginning with slightly different weather information. The forecaster's level of confidence is based on how well the models agree (or disagree) at the end of some specified time.

    Source: Essentials of Meteorology: An Invitation to the Atmosphere (fifth edition) by C. Donald Ahrens

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